Description

This analysis provides a forecast of MANA prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2024-12-22 0.317609 0.370641 0.430010 0.501448 0.585148 0.680200 0.796470
2024-12-29 0.237122 0.307285 0.394616 0.511539 0.664388 0.857972 1.122675
2025-01-05 0.188070 0.261638 0.360034 0.501731 0.701412 0.974045 1.376774
2025-01-12 0.156602 0.230747 0.335872 0.496526 0.737259 1.086845 1.637201
2025-01-19 0.135423 0.209681 0.320409 0.498567 0.780170 1.211696 1.929999
2025-01-26 0.124406 0.201429 0.321627 0.524258 0.860459 1.401501 2.349166
2025-02-02 0.115019 0.193961 0.322370 0.548271 0.940101 1.599653 2.810389
2025-02-09 0.105635 0.184918 0.318891 0.564025 1.007025 1.784395 3.274956
2025-02-16 0.095953 0.173873 0.310272 0.569116 1.055083 1.941563 3.711959
2025-02-23 0.086417 0.161714 0.297931 0.565393 1.085804 2.070282 4.113136
2025-03-02 0.076490 0.147491 0.279932 0.548392 1.088495 2.145648 4.419640
2025-03-09 0.071887 0.142758 0.279009 0.564000 1.156607 2.356322 5.030717
2025-03-16 0.065878 0.134687 0.270979 0.565057 1.196920 2.519717 5.575163
2025-03-23 0.061481 0.129343 0.267758 0.575709 1.259121 2.738038 6.276541
2025-03-30 0.055563 0.120044 0.255208 0.564654 1.272460 2.852456 6.759863
2025-04-06 0.050798 0.112609 0.245644 0.558777 1.296334 2.993160 7.326793
2025-04-13 0.047213 0.107318 0.240060 0.561081 1.339241 3.183202 8.043915
2025-04-20 0.045929 0.107068 0.245650 0.590093 1.449633 3.548363 9.261144
2025-04-27 0.044548 0.106413 0.250211 0.617215 1.559219 3.927211 10.577530
2025-05-04 0.042637 0.104252 0.250956 0.635011 1.647801 4.265953 11.843532
2025-05-11 0.040158 0.100396 0.247148 0.640762 1.705941 4.534256 12.959874
2025-05-18 0.037350 0.095378 0.239878 0.636556 1.736958 4.734864 13.917094
2025-05-25 0.034035 0.088673 0.227575 0.617352 1.724282 4.814367 14.531817